17 foot waves forecast for Eastern Lake Ontario!

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1056 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006
NYZ007-011200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.A.0002.061202T0000Z-061202T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-
1056 PM EST THU NOV 30 2006
....LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
A LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WESTERN TENNESSEE THIS
EVENING WILL TRACK NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SUSTAINED WINDS OVER
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THIS LOW. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE A SHARP RISE IN WATER LEVEL
ALONG THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND HEADWATERS OF THE ST
LAWRENCE RIVER AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS ALEXANDRIA BAY BEGINNING
FRIDAY EVENING AND PEAKING FRIDAY NIGHT.
A RISE OF A FEW FEET IS EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...WHICH COULD
RESULT IN FLOODING OF THE SHORELINE FROM HENDERSON BAY TO
ALEXANDRIA BAY. IN PARTICULAR...SHORELINE AREAS IN THE TOWN OF
CLAYTON COULD SEE FLOODING.
IN ADDITION...WAVES WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 17 FEET OR HIGHER
DURING FRIDAY NIGHT...CAUSING SPILLOVER AND FLOODING OF LAKESHORE
ROUTES. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO THE HIGH WAVES
ALONG THE ENTIRE STRETCH OF JEFFERSON COUNTY.
A LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING WILL OCCUR IF
WEATHER DEVELOPS AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE
READY TO MOVE TO SAFE GROUND IF FLOODING OCCURS OR IF WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...OR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO TO KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST SITUATION.
$$
SAGE

http://weather.cbs11tv.com/auto/cbs11tvV2/PA/038.html

Flash Flood Watch
Statement as of 2:45 AM EST on December 01, 2006

Expires 10:45 AM EST on December 01, 2006



.... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from noon EST today
through this evening...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of central New York... southeastern New York and
northeast Pennsylvania... including the following areas... in
central New York... Broome... Chemung... Chenango... Delaware...
Otsego and Tioga in southeastern New York... Sullivan in
northeast Pennsylvania... Bradford... Lackawanna... Luzerne...
northern Wayne... Pike... southern Wayne... Susquehanna and
Wyoming.

* From noon EST today through this evening

* a strong storm system and associated cold front will bring a
band of heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms this afternoon and
early evening. Around an inch of rain could fall in less than an hour's
time... as this rain band moves through.

* In general... flooding is not expected on the larger river
systems. Half to three-qurarter bank full rises are
anticipated at this time in the Susquehanna and upper Delaware
River basins.

Sharper rises are possible on some of the headwater points
and faster responding tributaries... like Sherburne...
Monroeton... and Cooks Falls.

Flooding of urban areas... small streams... creeks and other
drainage areas is possible. People in and near the watch area
should watch for heavy rainfall and be prpared to take immediate
action if flooding occurs or a warning is issued. A Flash Flood
Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash
flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.



High Wind Watch
Statement as of 2:21 AM EST on December 01, 2006

Expires 10:30 AM EST on December 01, 2006



.... High Wind Warning in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 am
EST Saturday...

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a High Wind
Warning... which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 am EST
Saturday. The high wind watch is no longer in effect.

Low pressure moving up the Ohio Valley will strengthen as it moves
northeast towards central New York and northeast Pennsylvania on
Friday. A strong cold front associated with this low pressure
system will cross the area this evening and usher in much colder
conditions.

A line of thunderstorms is expected to accompany the front as it
crosses the area. The most intense winds are expected along and
just behind this line of thunderstorms. Strong winds will
continue as the front passes and much colder air pours into the
region tonight and into early Saturday morning.

A High Wind Warning is issued when sustained winds of 40 mph are
expected for at least an hour... with frequent gusts of 58 mph or
greater at any time. Damage to trees... power lines... and property
are possible with winds of this magnitude. Be prepared for the
possibility of trees blocking roads and widespread power outages.
Motorists in high profiles vehicles are advised to use caution
until the wind subsides.



Special Weather Statement
Statement as of 2:39 AM EST on December 01, 2006

Expires 8:45 AM EST on December 01, 2006



.... Severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into the early
evening across central New York and northeast Pennsylvania...

A strong storm system will approach the area this afternoon... with
a sharp cold front swinging across the region during the late
afternoon and early evening hours.

A band of heavy rain... including thunderstorms... will develop along
and just ahead of the cold front. Due to the strength of the front
and an enhanced jet stream... any thunderstorms which develop could
produce damaging wind gusts in excess of 60 mph.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the region. For further
details on the heavy rain threat... please refer to the statement
albffabgm.

Additionally... once the cold front GOES by... strong gusty winds and
much colder temperatures are anticipated Friday night. A High Wind
Warning is in effect Friday night and early Saturday. For more
specific information concerning the high winds... please
refer to the statement albnpwbgm.

People are encouraged to monitor this developing weather situation.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio... or your favorite local media
outlets... for later updates.

I've had my eye on the barometric pressure.
Its started around 30:25.
Then maybe six hours later it ws down to 30:13
This morning it was 29:88

The high winds and big rains arn't expected until early afternoon.
Its almost nine a.m.

Here's what it did.

It was three oh somethng in the afternoon and it feel to 29. 6.
This morning it bounced bck up the 30s.

I'm really surprised at this news.

I just started studying pressure fluctuations.
A friend of mine has arthritus and barometrc pressure is an issue with
him.

I suspect my friend had a lot of pain because it was like one day it
fell lower then I've ever seen it, and then it bounced all the way back
by morning.

My door was wedged against the frame.
It was an issue closing it securely, this was late yesterday afternoon.
That was the low.

This morning the door bangs against the jam because of the returned high
pressure.

So my door jam is a barometer too.
Just like arthritus.

30.42", up an inch since yesterday.